Thursday, June 28, 2018

#DespiteBrexit

It really has been a terrible week for the UK.  All this disaster of leaving the EU and how it is damaging our economy.  No one wants to invest here.  It is all going so badly.

I mean, it must be fake news, the U.S. Marine Corps surely can't have awarded BAE Systems a $198 million contract to deliver an initial 30 Amphibious Combat Vehicles (ACV), with options for a total of 204 vehicles which could be worth up to $1.2 billion.  Really?  
BAE Systems’ ACV will provide the U.S. Marine Corps with a best-in-class vehicle to support its mission through mobility, survivability and lethality.
New Amphibious Combat Vehicles (ACV),
Then there was JCB.  Them of the big buckets and diggers. Yip, JCB is investing more than £50m in a new plant which will create more than 200 jobs by 2022.   The construction equipment giant is building the new factory next to two existing JCB plants.  It will build cabs to go on its machines and will be able to produce 100,000 cabs a year, double its current production. Ha, who made that one up!   
Aerial shot of the new factory
The new JCB new site in Uttoxeter will open in the summer of 2019
Or BAE Systems again.  Their Land UK business has announced it is investing £10m to build a new 12.7mm production line at its Radway Green facility in Crewe, UK.   Aye, right.     

And news just in from our dear friends in Australia, possibly the biggest #DespiteBrexit yet.  BAE Systems has won the tender to design and manage the construction of nine anti-submarine warships. The deal represents the biggest peacetime building programme in Australian naval history and is worth $35 billion, or £20 billion.  No, that can't be true either.  Britain is in a mess.  It must all be fake news....

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Increasing taxation increases austerity for normal people.

Ending austerity?  Well it appears more and more that increasing taxation is the way to stop austerity.  Yes, tax everyone to allow the government to have more money.  Austerity on the government purse will end.    

But hang on a moment, if you take money away from Mr or Mrs Average, that will mean they will actually be poorer.  So the government may have less austerity.  But the people who pay for it will be poorer, hence living in greater austerity.  Funny old world isn’t it.

Saturday, June 23, 2018

We already have a deal on the table. It's called WTO.

James McGrory from pressure group Open Britain, said there should be "a choice between leaving with the deal that the government negotiates, or staying in the European Union". 

Sorry, James, it might have escaped you but that vote has already happened.  No matter the deal, we're leaving the EU. 

Anyhow, as anyone who understands business knows, and this is where Gina Millars involvement in Open Britain surprises me because she does understand, we won’t be leaving without a deal.  WTO is already on the table.   

That is the deal we will leave with if the EU continue to refuse to negotiate in good faith. The only question is, if the EU does come up with a deal, will be the deal be better than what we get already from WTO.  If not, no deal with the EU.  It’s not as if we won’t continue trading with EU nations as Remainers try to assert. We will continue to trade, from day one. They can’t stop us. It will just be on WTO rules which 50% of UK international trade already operates under.  Our businesses are well used to trading globally under WTO.

Friday, June 22, 2018

Airbus

So Airbus threatens to stop dealing with the UK after we leave the EU. Hang on a minute.  Is this the same Airbus that has a factory in the USA and since 1990, has spent some $200 billion dollars with hundreds of U.S. suppliers – $48 billion in the last three years alone.    I don’t recall the USA being in the EU.

Airbus opened its first commercial aircraft production site in the United States in 2015.  The U.S. Manufacturing Facility, in Mobile, Alabama, produces A319s, A320s and A321s.  Not only that, Airbus has identified global sourcing as one of its long-term objectives and aims to source 40% outside Western Europe and the U.S. by 2020. 

So the stories about Brexit are laughable at best, or at worst, deliberate industrial sabotage by Remainers.

Tuesday, June 05, 2018

Where is your ambition?

You know, the longer it goes on, the more scare stories that are produced, the more utterly ridiculous forecasts that are made, it all leaves me sadly coming to conclusion that the most vocal Remainers are people without talent, who cannot do anything for themselves or others.    

For example they think our laws are better made by people we don’t elect, namely the four arms of the European Empire, that is the European Commission, the European Council, the European Parliament and the European Court of Justice of the European Union.  

As a reminder, the facts are, the European Union makes two thirds of UK law if we count EU regulations which, according to the treaties we have signed over the years, we must implement as part of 'UK law'.While it is true EU direct influence on UK-only laws is about 13%, the reality is there is an additional 52% of laws we have to obey that are EU wide and not UK specific.   

So it’s pretty disconcerting that as much as 13%, or indeed any laws or regulations that are UK only laws, should be set by people we have no power to vote out of office.  That certainly is not democratic.   

As Joshua Rozenberg noted back in 2013, a decision by the Employment Appeal Tribunal shows that EU law will trump laws passed by parliament.  The ruling demonstrates once again that EU law trumps laws passed by parliament. Despite all the attention paid to human rights law, EU law is much more powerful. 

But back to Remainers. They seem to believe we won't, as an independent nation, have the wit nor will nor ambition to improve our standard of living, to improve our environmental standards beyond the EU one size fits all belief, or produce better law.   

Where is their self-motivation?  Why do they believe we have to depend on others?   Why do they seriously believe we will be worse off in the medium long term freed from the EU?  

The EU will go down in history as an empire that lasted barely a few generations.  And like most empires that collapse, the root will be they left the people behind because they, the ones at the top, thought they knew best.

Back in Paris in 1849 in Les Guêpes, the Private Eye of its time, Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr remarked, with rather bitter wit, “Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose”.   How true.

Friday, June 01, 2018

It's Anarchy in the UK.

So, another day, another group of non-democrats.  This time a grassroots group of Jeremy Corbyn supporters and trade unions is to launch a major UK speaking tour, billed as the left-wing campaign to remain in the UK.   The Left Against Brexit tour will attempt to persuade Corbyn and his allies of the left-wing case for a pro-EU position and will argue that the party can reap electoral benefits from a shift.     

Maybe they haven't noticed but the time for people to persuade others has passed.  There was ample time before the referendum.  And even with the resources of Government, the EU, and all the pro EU organisations like the CBI, they still could not persuade the people of the UK of its case.  They tried to persuade a majority of their view.  And they failed.   And they didn’t like the answer the people gave.   

What bit of democracy don't these people get?   

Add to the mix the extremists the other side of the left vs right divide, people like George Soros and Nick Clegg and MPs like Kenneth Clarke and Anna Soubry, and it is quite a cast.   
If these people do get their way, we will have kissed goodbye to democracy.  What is the point in voting if the people who have the power simply ignore the will of the people as given in a democratic vote all sides said they would accept. One could argue that they have already, by their actions, introduced anarchy in the UK.  Want to know what that looks like?

Thursday, May 24, 2018

Fish is good for you.

Talking of food stuff, Bertie Armstrong of the Scottish Fishing Federation gives us one of the clearest and most sensible analysis of what’s going on in the EU trade negotiations.  

 We don't ask for a share of French grapes as they sell us wine - so why are they asking the same for fishing? 

It's bananas.

Typical BBC. 

states in a headline in an article this morning that “Tax rises needed 'to prevent NHS misery'” makes them a slave to the Labour party.  If they had said, as Laura Kuenssberg, BBC political editor carefully did in a report this morning on the Today programme, that spending needs to rise, that would have been ok.  Subtle but very important difference.

But the BBC has assumed it knows best and says the way to increase spending on the NHS is to increase taxes.  No it is not.  The other ways are, cut out the waste that already exists in the NHS.  And secondly, cut funding to other less important budgets and transfer the moment to the NHS.    

If you or I all of a sudden needed, for example, to eat more bananas than we did before, while continuing to eat the same amount of other food, we would look at all of our other spending and decide what we could cut back on so that we could have the bananas.  It might mean difficult decisions.  But I am sure none of us would take the decision to go out and rob someone for the price of the bananas. 

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Only people like Sir Patrick should have the vote.

So actor Sir Patrick Stewart, who backs the campaign to stay in the EU, said that if people voted to reject the exit deal in a second referendum, the UK would "simply stay" in the EU.  For the record, one million, two hundred and sixty nine thousand, five hundred and one more citizens voted leave than voted remain.

If it had been the reverse at the vote in 2016 and we had been asked do you want to join the EU, there would have been no question as to the outcome if the vote had been Yes.  We would have voted to join all the institutions, the single currency and courts of the EU.  No cherry picking.  

It may have escaped his notice but the people of the UK voted to leave the EU.  That vote is over with.  And the two key things that came from that vote are, one we voted to leave the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice and two, we voted for our UK parliament to be sovereign over our laws.   

The only thing now to consider is what sort of relationship does the remainder of the EU want with the UK.   

Yes, perhaps people don’t like the result.  I often don’t like the result of elections.  But that doesn’t mean you can over turn it just because you don’t like it.   

People like Sir Patrick simply don’t believe in democracy.  They believe they know better than the majority who voted Leave.   

Putting it simply, they believe people who voted Leave are stupid and didn’t know what they were doing when they voted the wrong way.  On that basis we should only allow people like Sir Patrick to vote in elections and to be on juries at trials.  No one else will understand the complexities of the issues to be decided.

Monday, March 12, 2018

The problem with GPS.

Next week I’m going to a meeting in my local Town Hall to learn what NATS are planning to do to the flightpaths around Glasgow Airport.  Big changes to save fuel and pollution is their headline.  (Will our ticket prices be reduced if less fuel is used?  No, I don’t think so either.) 

Anyway, NATS Holdings, formerly National Air Traffic Services and commonly referred to as NATS, are the business that boasts of being the UK's leading provider of air traffic control services.  Each year they handle 2.4 million flights and 250 million passengers in UK airspace.   In addition to providing services to 14 UK airports, and managing all upper airspace in the UK, they provide services around the world spanning Europe, the Middle East, Asia and North America. So a big important business.  And big on keeping our skies safe.

So why is NATS going full steam ahead for GPS based systems?   

Reflect for a momnet back to last June when more than 20 ships on the Black Sea noticed something odd about their satellite-based navigation systems. Instead of being at sea the systems said they were actaully on land.  Instead of their true positions well away from Russia’s south-west border, each ship’s GPS placed it inland at Gelendzhik, a small airport terminal!  

Now, if ships can be miles away from where they thought they were, imagine a plane being disorientated. 

Remember the problems the USA navy has been experiencing with apparently invincible ships hitting commercial ones?  Then there was the US Navy plane that crashed into the ocean southeast of Okinawa, marking at least the sixth apparent accident involving a Navy asset in East Asian waters in 12 months.  

GPS being interfered with? 

One does wonder if our reliance on the ColdWar satellite technology is an accident waiting to happen.

Sunday, March 11, 2018

One more thing Sir Vince.....

Too many older people who voted for Brexit were "driven by nostalgia" for a world where "faces were white" Sir Vince Cable also said today at his party conference. 

Maybe it’s just me, but that sounds awfully close to calling 17,410,742 Leave voters racists. 

Sir Vince believes he knows better than 17,410,742 voters.

The Lib Dem leader said today that the votes of the older generation had "crushed the hopes and aspirations of young people for years to come."  Quite hysterical language I dare to suggest. 

17,410,742  million people thought quite the opposite.  That free from the EU they will have greater chances in a bigger world.  His suggestion that because younger people voted to stay is easily countered by the notion that older people are wiser through years more experience and know how bad the EU is to those who transgress it.  See what they did to Greece, Italy and Ireland.

But clearly Sir Vince isn’t really a democrat.  He prefers to think his opinion is more important than a majority of the electorate.  Perhaps that is why his party is in such a state.

Thursday, March 01, 2018

Foreign powers

Tony Blair, John Major and Jeremy Corbin.  Two former prime ministers and one who aspires to be pm.   

One does wonder if any are the agents of a foreign power such as the EU.

Does John Major despise the people of the UK? It looks like it.

So John Major thinks British people have “every right” to reverse a democratic vote with further referendum.  No Sir John, they don’t.   That option wasn't on the ballot paper.  

His words are all the more remarkable when you consider that when he thought the Remain camp had it in the bag, he said somthing rather different.   

There will not be another referendum on Europe. This is it.”  Yip, Sir John Majors own words on 29th May 2016.   

After he was elected to office I didn’t hear anyone say there should be a right to a second vote to try and oust the Conservatives from power.    

Nor when Tony Blairs government was elected.  What the people do have a right to is, at some time in the future, apply to re-join the EU.  

But that two former prime ministers should be so unwilling to accept the democratic will of the people of the UK is, to put it mildly, unsettling.

Monday, February 26, 2018

What's the point in voting?

If we had been voting on 23 June 2016 on the question “Do you want to join the EU”, there would have been no doubt that a Yes vote would mean we had to join the EU, no picking bits we liked and rejecting  other bits we didn’t.  That’s what happens when you vote in a democracy.   

So what’s so different when we vote to leave the EU?  We are told now by the Labour leader that leave doesn’t actually mean leave.   

Now that Labour, the Liberal Democrats, a number of Conservatives have given up any pretence they are democratic, can they explain to us how ordinary people whose democratic voice they have taken away are supposed to respond?    

One hardly needs to look far in time or distance to see the disasters that occur when the elite believe they know best.

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Deal or No Deal.

I went to see Darkest Hour last night.  A most moving and revealing film about Churchill and, among others, Halifax.  It was a story of two ways to deal with a problem.  Negotiate or fight.   


The negotiators led by the persuasive Halifax felt that Hitler had the upper hand and to stand up to him would lead to more deaths.  We can get a negotiated settlement he intoned.  Hitler won’t be that bad to us if we negotiate now.  He will be fair.     

The other side, led by Churchill said, no, Hitler can’t be trusted.  We must fight.  One of the most remarkable scenes is (spoiler alert) when Churchill goes on the London Underground and meets real people.  They overwhelmingly say we must never give in to Hitler.  Never, never, never.  Did that really happen?  Probably not.  But Churchill must have taken "soundings", an early version of the focus groups the Blair government was so fond of.   So on one hand the professional politicians and military who wanted to go one way, and the people who wanted something else.  The people got their way.  And five years later it resulted in victory.    

While there is no comparison of the evil and wickedness of the Third Reich and the EU, it is almost like a parable.  On leaving the EU, politicians on one side say, let us negotiate a deal, I’m sure the EU will be generous and reasonable towards us, let’s trust them.   The other side says, let’s put markers in the sand, lines we will not cross.     

Clearly some people haven’t learned anything from history. As Churchill said, "you can't negotiate with a tiger when your head is in its mouth".

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

No cliff edge ahead.

When we leave the EU, the question is not trade deal or no trade deal.   

Only those who are either deliberately wanting to sink the only vote that mattered, the vote of the people of the UK that parliament itself set in train, or those who don’t understand how trade works, talk about that so called nightmare scenario.   

But that’s not the way it will be.  If we say our base line is WTO, if the EU cannot come up with a trade deal that is better than what we have under WTO, we go with WTO.   

We should now kick the ball back firmly in the court of the EU and say, we're going with WTO unless you can come up with a better deal.   

Simple.  

A final thought.  On the 29th of May 2019 we leave the EU.  That has already been voted on by parliament.  Unless there is a repeal Bill, and who would introduce that given parliament voted in favour of triggering Article 50, we’re out.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Keeping the poor, poor. It’s what the EU does so well.

You probably have never heard of Ahmed Shiaan.  He is the Maldives’ Ambassador to the UK.   Nice place he comes from you must be thinking.  And it is.  

But paradise comes with its own problems.  The EU causes him and his country problems.  The EU deliberately keeps the people in his country poor.    

EU protectionism has hampered their largest export, tuna, through a 24% tariff – unless, and here is the rub, it is to be processed in the EU.    

He explains how this has harmed economic development in the Maldives and expresses his hope for a Free Trade Agreement with the UK.  Oh yes, the EU generously offers the Maldives a 0% tariff on fresh tuna, provided it  destined for processing in the EU.  The “added value” is made up in the processing.  So by not allowing the import into the EU of tuna unless it is to be processed in the EU means the people of Maldives remain poor.  So the people of Maldives can’t ever get the opportunity to actually make money on the most profitable part of the tuna industry, the processing.   

I wrote about this before in relation to coffee.    

The EU is a protectionist club that destroys opportunity in some of the poorest nations in the world so that its people can make a fortune.    It is morally outrageous.  Yet that is exactly what he EU is doing in your name. 

The EU artificially creates the conditions to capture more of the value chain.  At the same time, it stymies the development of canning facilities in the Maldives by encouraging raw export.  The long-term consequences of this is a lack of development. 

The sooner we are out of this rotten club the better.

Sunday, December 10, 2017

Mind your language.

The government doesn’t command an overall majority. There is a small minority party.   

When it comes to votes they “are supporting” the government.    Or perhaps they are “propping up the government”.  What’s the difference?   

Well, on the BBC today the former description as used to describe the relationship between the SNP and the Greens.  The second description was for the Conservative and the DUP.  

It smacks of bias.  Language matters.

Thursday, December 07, 2017

"We want the United States of Europe".

It’s a while since the Referendum on whether we wanted to remain or leave the European Union.  It’s a while since we heard much from Martin Schulz.  Remember him?   President of the European Parliament 2012 to 2017.   

Now he is back in Germany serving as Leader of the Social Democratic Party of Germany since March 2017 and a Member of the Bundestag since September 2017.   He was a Member of the European Parliament (MEP) from Germany from 1994 to 2017.  So, putting it mildly, he knows all about the EU and where it;s going.   

Well, today he spoke again.   

And if what he said doesn’t make everyone in the UK sit up and take notice, they must be mad.    

He told the SDP party conference that a new EU treaty should be presented to member states creating a United States of Europe and countries who oppose it must leave the EU.  He demanded “there to be a constitutional treaty to create a federal Europe… the treaty will be presented to the member states and those who are against should just leave the European Union… We want the United States of Europe”.     

And he doesn’t want to hang about.  His plan is for this to come into existence by 2025.  And, remarkably, some Remainers think they have a hope of changing the public’s mind about Brexit.   

Somehow I don’t think we will be seeing his thoughts on the News at Ten tonight.  It's the last thing Remainers would want the people in the UK to hear.

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

German cars. German profits.

Germany dominates car production across Europe and makes eight of the top selling cars in the UK.  

So says an investigation by car magazine AutoExpress.    

Which, putting it in incredibly simple terms, means Germanys car industry needs the UK.  It makes a fortune here.  They want to sell to us.  We want to buy.   

But if the EU plays its hand the way they are, when we leave the EU, German built cars will be much less of an attractive proposition to UK buyers.  

So, I may be wrong, but I don’t think the board rooms of BMW, VAG and Mercedes will like the idea of the EU and their chancellor punishing the UK.  It will punsh them too and with it take away a rather delicious slice of their profits.  And jobs.

Saturday, November 11, 2017

UK dragging its heels? No, it's just Barnier doesn't like the answers.

Why does the BBC appear to continually take the side of the EU?   

Take the headline tonight:  Brexit bill: Barnier gives UK two weeks to clarify key issues”.  It’s as if Barnier is the one saying the important thing.  The difinitive position.  Talking as if the UK doesn’t have a positon.  As if all the failure is on the UK side.   

Take the UK borders on the island of Ireland between The Republic and Ulster.  Barnier keeps saying the UK has to come up with a solution.  It has, it’s just that Barnier doesn’t like it.   

Similarly on citizens of EU member countries living in the UK.  Barnier keeps saying the UK has to come up with a solution.  It has, it’s just that Barnier doesn’t like it.   

Or on the so called Divorce payment.  Divorce is of course is a ridiculous way to describe leaving a club.  Again, Barnier keeps saying the UK has to come up with a solution.  It has, it’s just that Barnier doesn’t like it.   

So all the blame the BBC headline suggests is to be laid at the door of the UK.  Nothing could be further from the truth.  But when did that stop the BBC form spinning a pro EU angle on a story.

Friday, November 10, 2017

£28b.

In today’s news we have the good news that, “despite Brexit” as those who still haven’t accepted that the vote to leave wasn’t about the economy but the right for our parliament to take its own decisions, Luton could become centre for PSA group’s van growth plans.  In Auto Express it is reported that the Vauxhall/Opel PACE! recovery plan includes strong targets for commercial vehicle growth that could be good news for the Vauxhall van plant in Luton.   

Michael Lohscheller, CEO of Opel/Vauxhall, revealed as part of the PACE! plan that he was targeting an increase in LCV (light commercial vehicle) sales of 25% between 2017 and 2020.   Part of that will come from the new Combo small van, which arrives next year. Like the new Corsa, due in 2019, it will be based on the PSA group small car CMP platform.  And like the Corsa, it will be one of the first fully-electric Vauxhall vehicles with a Combo EV set to be available in 2020.    

The rush to electric is really under way.  So here’s my question for today.  Given that in total, duties on petrol and diesel add up to almost £28bn a year for the exchequer with more than 65% of the cost you pay at the pumps goes to the exchequer, where will that money come from in an electric future?

An electric car charged from the grid will currently generate just 5p in VAT for every pound spent. If the car is charged directly from solar panels on a garage roof, the Treasury is likely to go empty-handed.   £28b to replace that provided to him thorough you filling up at the pump is a big number. 

I wonder if the up coming Budget will begin to show the way?

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

7.5%

Bank of England believes Brexit could cost 75,000 finance jobs.   So screamed the headline in an article on the BBC today.   It sounds bad news.  But, read on.  

Kamal Ahmed reckons 92.5% of financial services jobs will be safe after Brexit.  He argues that even if 75,000 jobs do go, London would still be by far the largest financial centre in Europe with over one million people employed in financial services in the capital and across the rest of Britain.   

And the UK would still enjoy a healthy trade surplus in financial services with the rest of the EU worth many tens of billions of pounds.    

Many also believe there will be a positive outcome to the EU negotiations as the City supports many governments and businesses on the continent in raising funds and executing global deals.   Those companies and firms would want to keep a close relationship with the UK and its well-developed global markets capacity.   That is what the article says, if you read that far.   

Funny how that side of the story is buried in the article.  92.5% of financial services jobs will be safe after Brexit would be a more honest but less eye catching headline.   

Anyway, the BoE under Mr Carney hasn’t the best of track records in its forecasting of late.

Monday, October 30, 2017

Well said that man.

On Today on BBC Radio 4 on Saturday we had a remarkable self-congratulatory John Humphries and his co-workers (not equal, certainly not in the salary stakes) tell us they really have saved or nation over the years.  They set the agenda, they freely admit that.  Not an action by or a speech by someone setting the agenda.  They, Today, set the agenda.  Big difference.    

So Mr Humphries question to Mr Gove was interesting.   Isn't there a danger, God forbid, that we make a politician look silly or perhaps a politician makes themselves look silly or contemptible in some way?”.  It was almost as if his aim was to do just with the way and tone he asked the question.    Mr Gove replied:  Well, I know what you mean.  Sometimes I think that coming into the studio with you John is a bit like going into Harvey Weinstein's bedroom”.     

Not the best attempt at humour from Mr Gove you may argue.  Certainly the more sensitive listeners jumped on the band wagon to criticise him.  But he was bang on in his assessment of interview techniques employed on Today.  The aim, more often than not, appears not having the aim of finding the truth but to humiliate the interviewee.    

But Mr Gove remark wasn’t the only one.  Neil Kinnock, who was part of the interviewee cast, interjected.  John goes way past groping. way past groping”.    Is that not in equally bad taste?   

I’m not defending either Messrs Kinnock or Gove for the words they used.  But is it not a bit odd that people like Ms Sturgeon and Ms Swinson should only criticise the Conservative politician?    

Now, which remark has made the headlines on the BBC web site?  You don’t need to guess.  You know it’s not Mr Kinnocks.  Balance?  Don’t make me laugh.    

In the aftermath of the joke in poor taste Lord Adonis took aim at the BBC for its role in “debasing public debate”.  In a tweet he said “Cloying self-congratulation of @BBCr4today misplaced.  Britain in crisis & BBC shd be asking what part it played in debasing of public debate”.  (sic)   

Well said that man.   

It really was a nauseating self-congratulatory programme.

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

We are at war now. Apparently.

It was an odd choice of words.  As if he was at war with someone.  Donald Tusk the former Polish prime minister, now the European Council president said the EU will be "defeated" in Brexit negotiations unless it maintains absolute unity.  "If we fail it then the negotiations will end in our defeat," he told MEPs.   

I don’t recall anyone in the UK talking in terms of victory or defeat.  Indeed, Mrs May has been saying quite the opposite.  We want a good deal that satisfies both sides.   

Mr Tusk has effectively ruled out such a position.  For him, victory seems to be the only way ahead.  Which more than ever is suggesting that, if it is indeed the EU stance, no deal will indeed be better than a bad deal for the UK.  Because a bad deal is all they want to offer to gain “victory”.   

It will be a pretty Pyrrhic victory though.  He and his elite colleagues will see their European project of a single European super state still on course.  Meanwhile the businesses and people in the countries they claim to represent will be poorer, have less democratic control and be generally in a worse place.  Just think Greece.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

I'll give you five years. Just Do It!

If I told you that 15% of the employees in a vital UK industry that is of critical national importance come from outside the UK you may understandably express surprise.  You may ask why and how did this happen.  And you may well ask what would be the consequences if this 15% went AWOL.  You may also let you mind wander to how could we fix the problem.    

The answer to the last point is pretty easy.  If we are not training enough people that we need to go overseas to find people, let’s invest and train our own, right here in the UK.  Then we won’t need to scour the world to find these people.  Taking them away from countries that could use their skills. Then we can be safe and secure in the knowledge that we are home producing quality people. 

This has all come to a head with some suggesting that the threshold for language skills should be reduced in the nursing sector.   

A spokesman for the Royal College of Nursing said:  The NHS is struggling to recruit overseas nurses but we would firmly oppose any change just to plug workforce gaps. It must be robust and command the confidence of the public.”    

Jackie Smith, chief executive of the Nursing and Midwifery Council said: “Nurses and midwives trained outside the UK make up around 15 percent of our register. They are vital to the delivery of health and care services across the UK.   

Can you see any other critical UK business that would allow for such volatility in its recruitment policy?  I can’t. 

And don’t take the intellectually sloppy route and just blame the current government.  They are pumping more money into the bottomless hole that is the NHS at a greater rate than any previous government.   

But is it not time to invest?  Take some of that money and invest in nurse training.  It takes three years to train a nurse.  It is not beyond the wit of man to say, ok, in five years, all our nurses will be home trained.  And totally fluent in English.  I say, Just Do It.


Tuesday, October 17, 2017

£85,173,454.91

Sometimes a story seems to bounce out of the ether.  Take today’s bold story about how, according to the OECD, the UK is going to be well and truly stuffed when we leave the EU.  Indeed, they rather interestingly claim that only having a second referendum and reversing Brexit will save the British economy from apocalypse. 

Actually leaving the EU is nothing to do with economics.  It’s about regaining the power for people to elect (or unelect) the people who make the laws they are governed by.  That is why we are leaving.  But let's leave that to one side for the moment.  

So, based on the word of the OECE, we should overturn a democratic vote.  They do have form.  Back in the olden days when the elite thought we should join the ERM, “great benefits” for the UK were forecast.  And look what happened.  Then there was the Euro.  Remember the elite telling us it would be disaster if we didn’t join?  Who’s laughing now?  Though sadly the disaster that is the Euro is no laughing matter.   And there was the instant “major negative shock” if the people of the UK had the temerity to vote Leave.  Well we did.  And the major negative shock is still awaited 15 months on.    

Of course these people always rewrite history.  "In spite of Brexit" usually is the theme as they revise their forecast in the opposite direction from their original forecasts.   And, like all good reports, they had a disclaimer. The outcome relating to leaving the EU “could prove more favourable than assumed here”.    The small print.  Tucked away.

Indeed, even the OCED’s most gloomy predictions now still predict the economy will grow in the event of no deal.  

And it is on these predictions that Cardiff Business School professor Patrick Minford has his questions about its modelling and assumptions, saying the OECD's negative findings were at odds with his own and others' workings, including Oxford Economics adviser Graham Gudgin.  "The OECD has always said we shouldn't leave the EU. It's pretty easy to see why, most of their members are in the EU - it's no mystery that they are going to have an institutional bias to find reasons to reject Brexit."

Many other people of sound mind are not enamoured by the OECD. And you can see why.  For example economist Ruth Lea CBE, again, nobody's fool when it comes to economics, thinks the OECD's findings were symptomatic of analysis that was "forever exaggerating the negative".     

Speaking to CityAM she said "I'm getting so tired of all this," adding "They’ve all got themselves in some kind of negative time warp. They were very negative prior to the referendum and can’t get out of that way of thinking. They're locked into this negative way of thinking.   "A lot if it is because they feel they have to continue with this narrative to justify themselves and have some appearance of consistency. But it’s time they really began to change the narrative, move the dial - this country is leaving the EU and everyone has to now accept that."    

One final wee point.  I may have missed it, but I’m not sure I saw in the report the fact that the OECD has received an incredible £85,173,454.91 from the EU since 2007.  Just thought I'd mentinon it.

Thursday, October 12, 2017

Why is the BBC so biased in favour of the EU?

The straight answer is, I don't know.  It all the evidence indicates that the BBC is institutionally biased.  

Take today on the BBC web site.  "Deadlock over UK's Brexit bill, says EU's Michel Barnier".  So shouts the headline on the BBC web site.  Which I find a bit odd.  The British Broadcasting Corporation, funded by UK citizens, is leading with the views, as if they where true, of a man representing foreign governments that are trying to make sure that the UK is punished for having had the temerity to vote, democratically, to leave the EU.    

But why should we be surprised?  An analysis by monitoring group News-Watch looked at Radio 4's flagship morning news programme Today and concluded that there was "overwhelming negativity" about Leaving the EU.     

For example, research shows the indisputable facts that during the six three-hour morning shows from Monday 29 March to Saturday 4 April, The Today Programme fielded 124 guests on Article 50 but only eight, yes eight (6.5%), were "given the space to make substantive arguments that the future for the UK outside the EU would yield significant benefits".  It also claimed that in the survey period BBC correspondents "displayed what can only be described as a strong common editorial bias against Brexit".  The programme coverage was strongly biased against Brexit and made special efforts to illustrate the extent to which leaving the EU could have catastrophic consequences for the UK. There was, by contrast, only minimal effort to examine the potential benefits. These are not opinions about the output that week.  They are facts. It is exactly what happened.

Really, we expect balance from the BBC. Indeed, we used to be able to rely on the BBC for its impartiality and balance.  Sadly, this research and today's story on the BBC web site show these days are gone.

Where was Mr Corbyns finger pointing?

In response to the so called lack of progress view perpetrated by the EU, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said: "I think it's quite shocking. We're now 15 months on since the referendum and the government seems to have reached deadlock at every stage." 

He is right.  But I hope his criticism is not aimed at the UK government but the foreign governments who, as is their stated aim through Mr Barnier, is to deadlock and frustrate the talks the whole way. 

No deal rather than a bad deal? It's what 74% of the UK want.

Those who think we should remain in the EU at any cost must have thought the public would be on side.   

Sadly for them the vast majority of the public believes quite the opposite.    

A decisive 74% agreed the country should walk away rather than accept a punishment deal. “No deal is better than a bad deal” according to this new Sky Data poll.  Or put it the other way around, only 26% think “any deal is better than no deal”.  What is surprising is the sentiment holds true across the age range.    

For example, amongst 18-34 year-olds support for “no deal is better than a bad deal” is at a remarkable 75%.   These are the people Remainders have told us would be most pro EU.  Moving up the age range, 35-54 year-olds figure is 74%.  And the golden oldies over 55, 76% think “no deal is better than a bad deal”.  So there you have it.  Near universal support for no deal among the public.  

So given no deal is looking the better option as the days go by, why is HM Government not getting on with preparations?    

Certainly the reality is perhaps being understood in the EU.  Michel Barnier, after today’s round of negotiations, said “We've reached a state of deadlock which is very disturbing”.  I bet it is disturbing for him.  Yes, he’s making out that the UK are the problem.  But it is him who is staring down at no deal and no kind of financial agreement.  Not a disaster for the UK in any shape or form. For Mr Barnier, it is a nightmare.  He’s going to have to go back and say to the EU, “sorry, we didn’t force them into a bad deal.  Oh, and by the way, we didn’t get any money out of them either”.